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“剛性”履約反襯債市不成熟

2013-01-24 09:18     來源:中國證券報     編輯:范樂

  在二級市場上,盡管年初以來信用債在寬松資金面推動下走出一波強勁上漲行情,但民營企業債交投不活躍,收益率下行幅度明顯低于城投債和國企債。

  從長遠看,民營企業債率先出現實質性違約并非壞事,反而有利于民營企業特別是中小企業打通融資渠道、降低融資成本。

  以去年面世的中小企業私募債為例,在最初幾批資質較好的中小企業私募債受機構追捧后,此類債券發行便遇到困難。其癥結在于:在“零違約”市場環境下,投資者難以對中小企業違約風險進行理性評估,往往提出近乎苛刻的信用利差補償,動輒要求利率達15%以上;對發行人來說,超高融資成本帶來的是得不償失,因此發債熱情不足。

  如果債券違約作為常態現象被投資者接受,將有助于形成更加成熟的市場化定價估值體系,提升投資者持有高風險債券信心。因為在對違約率水平有充分評估基礎上,投資高風險債券也能獲得相對穩定的收益,從而使投資者更愿將高風險債券納入資產配置組合。

  風波暫時平靜,但風險并未遠離,“零違約”遲早會被打破。實質性違約遲遲不至,恰好給市場參與者更充足的準備時間。如果首只信用債違約事件發生,將使債市進一步健康、成熟。

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